11

Cathedral

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 115

Belmont Park · Race 11 - Flower Bowl Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 106 · 7f213y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 106 par20/061OR 106C1 @ Chantilly 20/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 107 · 1m208y Sft 123 · beat its mark20/07/2025 · OR 107 par1 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 107 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 107 par13/091OR 1071 @ Newmarket 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 108 · 1m Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 108 parC0 @ Del Mar 02/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 107 · 1m3f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/11/2025 · OR 107 par2/11C?OR 1071 @ Kempton 28/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 113 · 1m Sta 128 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 113 par1 @ Newmarket 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 113 · 1m1f GF 128 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 113 par3/051OR 1131 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 113 · 7f213y GF 128 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 113 parC0 @ Saratoga 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 131 · 1m1f Yie 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 131 par18/07C?OR 131projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Saratoga?4th4th+0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot17th7th0
2026-05-03Newmarket12nd2nd0
2026-03-28Kempton13rd4th−0
2025-11-02Del Mar?4th4th+0
2025-10-04Newmarket15th5th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/064/103/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20254th33/10%70%+0.70
20/07/20252nd4/797%80%-0.17
13/09/20254th16/116%70%+0.54
04/10/20255th28/10%50%+0.50
02/11/20254th50/10%75%+0.75
28/03/20263rd11/893%80%-0.13
03/05/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
17/06/20267th7/163%57%-0.06
18/07/20264th5/174%50%-0.24