9
Silvology
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 96
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Flower Bowl Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
| 2025-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 14/11/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 09/01/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/02/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |