5
Mo The Merrier
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 94
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |