2
Oil Capital
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |