4
Village Person
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |