1

Addagirl Addie

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 65

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 75 par3/01C9OR 75C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m1f Fm 123 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 73 parC9 @ Aqueduct 24/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 69 par24/04C9OR 69C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 16/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 70 parC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 11/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 69 par11/06C9OR 69C9 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Saratoga 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m1f Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 68 par2/08C6OR 68C9 @ Saratoga 19/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 67 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 67 parC9 @ Saratoga 06/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m1f Fm 126 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 65 par6/09C9OR 65projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Saratoga?7th7th0
2026-08-19Saratoga?9th9th0
2026-08-02Saratoga?7th4th+3
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?5th5th0
2026-06-11Belmont At The Big A?8th8th0
2026-05-16Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0116/052/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/01/20263rd10/147%75%+0.28
28/01/20265th9/276%50%-0.26
24/04/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
16/05/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
11/06/20268th25/10%36%+0.36
25/06/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
02/08/20267th50/10%25%+0.25
19/08/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
06/09/20267th66/10%45%+0.45