Adroit

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 71

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Saratoga	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-08-02	Saratoga	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-07-19	Saratoga	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2026-06-20	Belmont At The Big A	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength13%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/06/2026	6th	40/1	0%	50%	+0.50
19/07/2026	5th	50/1	0%	64%	+0.64
02/08/2026	9th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
07/09/2026	7th	20/1	0%	45%	+0.45