Amazing Gracer
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-24 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 91% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |