No Need To Panic
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 77
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |