5
Not Tapping
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 61
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +40.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |