2
Raynham Hall
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |