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6

Beauty Reigns

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 102

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Gallant Bloom Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: -3.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saratoga 08/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 96 par8/06C5OR 96C1 @ Saratoga 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 102 · 6f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 102 parC0 @ Saratoga 02/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 102 · 7f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 102 par2/08C?OR 102C5 @ Oaklawn Park 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 102 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 102 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 100 par18/04C5OR 100C6 @ Churchill Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 100 · 7f Fas 121 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 100 parC0 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 104 · 7f Fas 118 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 104 par21/06C?OR 104C6 @ Saratoga 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 99 · 7f Fas 123 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 99 parC0 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 101 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 101 par29/08C?OR 101projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Saratoga?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-23Saratoga?1st7th−5
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?5th5th0
2026-05-17Churchill Downs?1st7th−5
2026-04-18Oaklawn Park?4th10th−5
2026-03-12Oaklawn Park?2nd8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0612/0321/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.8% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20253rd13/891%67%-0.25
03/07/20252nd7/491%67%-0.24
02/08/20253rd10/147%71%+0.24
12/03/20262nd6/492%83%-0.09
18/04/20264th11/893%40%-0.53
17/05/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
21/06/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
23/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
29/08/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59