1
Munnings Express
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Gallant Bloom Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |