3

Queen Jubilee

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 83

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Gallant Bloom Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 22/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 11922/09C6C6 @ Churchill Downs 27/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark27/10/2024 · OR 77 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 30/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark30/11/2024 · OR 83 par30/11C6OR 83C6 @ Oaklawn Park 29/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 84 · 1m110y Slo 120 · beat its mark29/12/2024 · OR 84 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 19/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Gd 120 · below its mark19/01/2025 · OR 86 par19/01C6OR 86C6 @ Fair Grounds 27/02/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 86 · 1m110y Gd 120 · below its mark27/02/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Fair Grounds 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 76 par30/01C6OR 76C5 @ Colonial Downs 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 6f 122 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 81 par7/08C5OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Colonial Downs?1st7th−5
2026-01-30Fair Grounds?1st8th−6
2025-02-27Fair Grounds?12th19th−6
2025-01-19Fair Grounds?3rd10th−6
2024-12-29Oaklawn Park?2nd9th−6
2024-11-30Churchill Downs?4th11th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0929/1230/017/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20245th25/10%43%+0.43
27/10/20244th25/10%63%+0.63
30/11/20244th10/382%67%-0.16
29/12/20242nd7/282%89%+0.07
19/01/20253rd7/282%71%-0.10
27/02/202512th16/116%0%-0.16
30/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
07/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63