2
Senza Parole
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 101
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Gallant Bloom Stakes - Grade 2 · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: -3.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 1/3 | 98% | 83% | -0.15 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |