3
Annotate
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 66
Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 44% | -0.47 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |