1
Hidden Rose
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 03/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 33% | -0.57 |