8

Higher Force

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 91

Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 84 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 84 par26/09C5OR 84C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 23/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m1f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 87 parC6 @ Aqueduct 29/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m1f 120 · beat its mark29/11/2025 · OR 87 par29/11C6OR 87C7 @ Aqueduct 13/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 1m1f 123 · below its mark13/02/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Aqueduct 19/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m1f 123 · below its mark19/03/2026 · OR 89 par19/03C7OR 89C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 1m Slo 123 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 93 par25/05C7OR 93C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 21/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 86 parC6 @ Saratoga 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m1f Fas 126 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 89 par12/08C6OR 89projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-21Belmont At The Big A?1st2nd−1
2026-05-25Belmont At The Big A?4th5th−1
2026-05-01Belmont At The Big A?7th7th0
2026-03-19Aqueduct?4th5th−1
2026-02-13Aqueduct?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0913/0225/0512/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
23/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
29/11/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
13/02/20264th3/184%40%-0.44
19/03/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
01/05/20267th25/10%0%0.00
25/05/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
21/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
12/08/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46