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3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 02/01/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |