Jolly Jolene
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 83
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |