Kayla's Komet
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 22/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |