7
Raghba
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |