9
Soundbite
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 01/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |