Manor Park
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 87
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +15.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 11% | -0.70 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |