10
Three Mile Gold
3yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +16.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |