2
Until Last Call
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-12-10 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 13th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/11/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |