9
Buttah
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 95
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Vosburgh Stakes - Grade 3 · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -4.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 12/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |