El Grande O
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 99
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Vosburgh Stakes - Grade 3 · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-04-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-02-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 17% | -0.76 |
| 09/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |