3
Senior Officer
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 109
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Vosburgh Stakes - Grade 3 · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 1.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: -3.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2024-10-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 30/10/2024 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |