10

T Kraft

4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 101

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Vosburgh Stakes - Grade 3 · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength35%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 11/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark11/01/2025 · OR 80 par11/01C6OR 80C6 @ Aqueduct 14/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 81 · 6f110y Gd 122 · beat its mark14/02/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Aqueduct 15/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark15/03/2025 · OR 86 par15/03C5OR 86C0 @ Saratoga 25/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 94 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 96 par26/04C6OR 96C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 22/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 99 · 6f110y 121 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 99 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 98 par28/06C6OR 98C0 @ Saratoga 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 102 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 102 parC0 @ Saratoga 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 101 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 101 par29/08C?OR 101projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Saratoga?2nd2nd+0
2026-07-25Saratoga?4th4th+0
2026-06-28Belmont At The Big A?5th11th−5
2026-05-22Belmont At The Big A?1st7th−5
2026-04-26Churchill Downs?4th10th−5
2025-07-25Saratoga?5th5th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0125/0728/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
14/02/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
15/03/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
25/07/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
26/04/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
22/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
28/06/20265th11/486%33%-0.52
25/07/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
29/08/20262nd16/116%80%+0.64