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5

Eunomia

4yo Filly · 8-12

Delaware Park · Race 10 - Delaware Handicap - Grade 3 · 1m 1f

#7

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Monmouth Park 19/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 117 · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 95 par19/07C5OR 95C5 @ Keeneland 03/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 98 parC5 @ Keeneland 18/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 99 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 99 par18/10C5OR 99C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 103 · 1m39y Fas 120 · beat its mark13/12/2025 · OR 103 parC1 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 104 par14/02C1OR 104C5 @ Colonial Downs 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 101 · 1m 119 · beat its mark14/03/2026 · OR 101 parC0 @ Keeneland 17/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 104 · 1m110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 104 par17/04C?OR 104C0 @ Belmont At The Big A 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 102 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 102 parC0 @ Del Mar 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 103 par2/08C?OR 103projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Del Mar?1st-2th+3
2026-05-09Belmont At The Big A?6th3rd+3
2026-04-17Keeneland?2nd-1th+3
2026-03-14Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-02-14Gulfstream?3rd0th+2
2025-12-13Tampa Bay Downs?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0713/1217/042/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength74%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20254th15/261%57%-0.03
03/10/20254th15/261%73%+0.12
18/10/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
13/12/20251st1/499%100%+0.01
14/02/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
14/03/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
17/04/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
09/05/20266th7/491%17%-0.74
02/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47