Take Charge Omaha
4yo Filly · 8-6
Delaware Park · Race 10 - Delaware Handicap - Grade 3 · 1m 1f
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-01-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |