1
Dee's On Dow
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 91
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 07/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |