7
Irish Jig
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |