4
Miss Mo Town
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.03 |