1
A Votre Sante
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 93
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2025-06-20 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 10th | 13th | −3 |
| 2025-04-28 | Turf Paradise | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-04-17 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 30/11/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 20/01/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 28/04/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 20/06/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |