Aye Eye
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-09-01 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -47.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |