Nothing Personal

3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 88

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength62%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.1 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C3.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2025-09-13	Churchill Downs	?	4th	-1th	+4	5.0
2025-08-09	Colonial Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%

▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength18%

Delivery trend -36.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/08/2025	1st	4/1	79%	100%	+0.21
13/09/2025	4th	7/2	82%	67%	-0.15