9

Soar Richard
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-07-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 18/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 67% | -0.26 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |