2
Try Harder
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 91
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2023-10-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2023 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 26/05/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 15/06/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |