IvyArcIvyArc
6

Winning Trip

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 91

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 08/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 71 par8/06C9OR 71C9 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 6f 121 · beat its mark25/09/2025 · OR 65 parC7 @ Laurel Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 64 · 7f Fas 124 · beat its mark15/11/2025 · OR 64 par15/11C7OR 64C7 @ Laurel Park 27/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 121 · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 74 parC5 @ Laurel Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 83 · 7f 122 · beat its mark20/12/2025 · OR 83 par20/12C5OR 83C5 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 88 parC5 @ Laurel Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 90 · 7f 123 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 90 par20/02C5OR 90C5 @ Laurel Park 15/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 84 · 6f 123 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 84 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 86 par12/04C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-12Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-03-15Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-20Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-01-16Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-12-20Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2025-11-27Laurel Park?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0627/1120/0212/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20259th5/287%0%-0.87
25/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
15/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
27/11/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
20/12/20252nd3/184%83%-0.01
16/01/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
20/02/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
15/03/20262nd10/382%75%-0.07
12/04/20265th12/137%50%+0.13