11
Frosty The Giant
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 101
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 15/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |