7
Galatown Guy
3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 95
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -23.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |