13
L Golden Boy
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 88
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-06-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 20/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |