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14

Rotterdam

6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 113

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 30/03/2024 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark30/03/2024 · OR 100 par30/03C6OR 100C8 @ Gulfstream 20/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark20/12/2024 · OR 102 parC6 @ Gulfstream 23/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 122 · below its mark23/01/2025 · OR 104 par23/01C6OR 104C6 @ Gulfstream 01/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark01/03/2025 · OR 102 parC5 @ Keeneland 09/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 108 · 1m Gd 118 · below its mark09/04/2025 · OR 108 par9/04C5OR 108C5 @ Churchill Downs 01/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 101 parC6 @ Gulfstream 21/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 106 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 106 par21/06C6OR 106C5 @ Colonial Downs 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 27 · 2m Gd 155 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 27 parC6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 109 · 1m3f Fm 126 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 109 par8/08C6OR 109projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Saratoga?3rd4th−1
2026-06-29Colonial Downs?1st1st0
2025-10-18Far Hills?+1
2025-06-21Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2025-05-01Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2025-04-09Keeneland?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/031/0321/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20249th9/488%11%-0.77
20/12/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
23/01/20252nd5/493%88%-0.06
01/03/20254th7/282%73%-0.09
09/04/20253rd5/174%82%+0.08
01/05/20256th6/594%50%-0.44
21/06/20252nd13/891%83%-0.08
29/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
08/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17