5
Sound Bite
3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/5 | 98% | 93% | -0.05 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |