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4

St Pete's Passion

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 60

Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#15

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 7f110y 120 · beat its mark25/09/2024 · OR 70 par25/09C6OR 70C9 @ Delaware Park 17/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 77 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark17/10/2024 · OR 77 parC9 @ Laurel Park 04/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark04/04/2025 · OR 84 par4/04C9OR 84C6 @ Delaware Park 22/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m70y Slo 123 · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 86 parC6 @ Delaware Park 12/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark12/06/2025 · OR 84 par12/06C6OR 84C9 @ Delaware Park 24/07/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m70y Fm 121 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 85 parC6 @ Penn National 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 66 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 66 par23/05C6OR 66C6 @ Delaware Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 67 · 1m 122 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 67 parC6 @ Delaware Park 27/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Gd 121 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 75 par27/08C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Delaware Park?7th8th−1
2026-06-06Delaware Park?5th6th−1
2026-05-23Penn National?1st2nd−1
2025-07-24Delaware Park?12th16th−4
2025-06-12Delaware Park?6th7th−1
2025-05-22Delaware Park?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0922/0523/0527/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/20242nd14/126%75%+0.49
17/10/20242nd4/179%83%+0.04
04/04/20254th7/491%25%-0.66
22/05/20257th7/163%25%-0.38
12/06/20256th20/10%0%0.00
24/07/202512th40/10%0%0.00
23/05/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
06/06/20265th14/126%0%-0.26
27/08/20267th25/10%0%0.00