Taraj
5yo Horse · 8-8 · OR 99
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-09 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2024-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 10th | 5th | +4 |
| 2024-05-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | -2th | +4 |
| 2023-11-24 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2023-09-24 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2023 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 24/09/2023 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 24/11/2023 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 20/06/2024 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/07/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 09/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |