2
Barbadian Runner
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 120
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Battery Park Stakes · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 80% | -0.17 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |