5
Bendoog
7yo Horse · 8-9 · OR 113
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Battery Park Stakes · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/07/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |